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Nick Barta's Colorado Mortgage Blog: Your Home Buying Guide

Make informed Colorado homeownership decisions with Nick Barta's expert mortgage advice and market analysis.

Over the past year, the conversation around housing affordability has intensified, with many people feeling the pinch. But recently, there's been a shift. Mortgage rates, a critical component of affordability, have started to decrease from their peak in October:


Infographic displaying the average 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage trends with comparative percentages: Current rate as of January 11, 2024, at 6.78%, a slight increase from one year ago at 6.21%, with a note on the recent peak on October 19, 2023, at 8.03%, and the recent low on February 2, 2023, at 5.99%. The image includes stylized illustrations of houses with greenery and clouds, highlighting the dynamic nature of the housing market. Source: Mortgage News Daily.

However, there's more to home affordability than just mortgage rates.


To truly get a handle on what makes a home affordable, we need to consider three crucial factors: mortgage rates, home prices, and wages. Here's the latest news on each and why this is important for homebuyers today.


1. Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates have seen a decrease in recent months, bringing some relief to potential homebuyers. Economists, like Jiayi Xu from Realtor.com, suggest that rates could continue to fall if economic conditions, such as inflation, keep improving...

“While there could be some fluctuations in the path forward … the general expectation is that mortgage rates will continue to trend downward, as long as the economy continues to see progress on inflation.”

This is good news for your buying power, as even a small drop in rates can significantly reduce your monthly mortgage payment, making that dream home more attainable.


2. Home Prices

Next up are home prices. After increasing at a steady pace last year, they're expected to continue their moderate rise in 2024. This is partly due to a projected slight growth in inventory, which, according to Lisa Sturtevant, Chief Economist at Bright MLS, might be balanced out by more buyers entering the market.

“More inventory will be generally offset by more buyers in the market. As a result, it is expected that, overall, the median home price in the U.S. will grow modestly . . .”

This suggests that waiting to buy could mean facing higher prices down the line. For those ready to purchase, acting sooner rather than later could be beneficial.


3. Wages

On the brighter side, we're seeing an increase in wages. The graph below, using data from the Federal Reserve, illustrates this trend:


Graph titled 'Wages Climbing at a Faster Pace' showing an upward trend in the Wages Index over time from 2006 to 2023 with a dotted trendline, indicating a significant rise in weekly wages for all workers in the private sector, as reported by The Fed. Image includes the Nick Barta Team logo and contact information, highlighting expertise in financial services and homebuying assistance.

Currently, wages are growing at a rate higher than the historical norm, which is a positive sign for affordability. Higher wages mean a smaller portion of your income goes towards your mortgage, easing the financial burden of homebuying.


What This Means for You

Understanding the dynamics of mortgage rates, home prices, and wages is crucial in today's market. These factors are key to determining how affordable a home can be for you.


Bottom Line

If you're considering buying a home, it's important to keep these factors in mind. As they improve, so does the opportunity for homeownership. Staying updated on these trends is vital, and connecting with the right experts can provide you with the latest insights and guidance you need to make informed decisions.


Real estate agents shake hands after the signing of the contract agreement is complete.

Understanding the Current Real Estate Landscape


The real estate market is experiencing a significant shift, opening up new opportunities for prospective homebuyers and investors. This change is marked by a recent upturn in buyer activity and a notable decrease in mortgage rates, signaling a prime time for real estate investment.


A Turning Point in Home Sales: What This Means for You


Rebound in Existing Home Sales: A Positive Indicator


After a prolonged lull, the market for existing homes has shown a remarkable recovery. In November, sales of pre-owned homes increased by nearly 1% from the previous month, reaching an annualized rate of 3.82 million units. This improvement, however, only partially reflects the impact of the significant drop in mortgage rates over the past two months, suggesting that we may see even stronger sales in the near future. The median sales price in November was $388K, marking a 4% increase year-over-year, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR).


Existing home sales (SAAR by month) November 2023


Builder Confidence Rebounding: A Sign of Market Recovery


The past year has seen a struggle with low inventory in affordable, pre-owned homes, pushing buyers towards new constructions. High mortgage rates had dampened this trend, but the recent fall in rates has led to a resurgence in both buyer interest and builder confidence. Builders are now increasing construction of single-family homes, which account for 73% of recent housing starts, as reported by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and the Census Bureau.


Builder Confidence and Housing Starts 2019-2023


Mortgage Rates: A Key Factor in Home Buying Decisions


The Significant Impact of Falling Mortgage Rates


A pivotal change in the housing market has been the drastic reduction in average 30-year mortgage rates, which have fallen by nearly 1.5% to 6.64% in just two months. This decrease, one of the steepest in recent history according to Mortgage News Daily, is reshaping buyer sentiment. While rates are still higher than their lows in 2021, the rate of change is crucial in influencing buyer decisions, making homeownership more accessible by reducing monthly mortgage expenses.


Average 30-year, fixed rate mortgage on December 20, 2023


Seizing Today's Real Estate Opportunities: A Path to Homeownership and Investment Success


In the current dynamic real estate market, whether you're a first-time buyer or a seasoned investor, the landscape is ripe with opportunities. The improved conditions, marked by rising home sales and renewed builder confidence, offer a unique chance for both existing home enthusiasts and new construction seekers.


Staying well-informed is key in this evolving market. Keeping abreast of mortgage rates, market trends, and housing inventory is not just empowering but essential for making strategic decisions that align with your financial and personal aspirations. Collaborating with a knowledgeable real estate agent can provide the guidance and insights necessary to navigate these waters successfully.


Conclusion: Capitalize on the Promising Real Estate Market


Now is a favorable time for those looking to invest in property. The blend of increasing home sales, builder confidence, and more favorable mortgage rates creates an ideal environment for property purchase and investment. This period presents a strategic opportunity to make your move in the real estate market, whether you're aiming for homeownership or looking to expand your investment portfolio.


Ready to Make Your Move in Real Estate?


Embark on your journey in today's promising housing market with us. Contact us to explore how we can assist in realizing your real estate ambitions, from finding the perfect home to securing the best financing options. Let's turn your real estate dreams into reality!

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